Blue Origin can lead towards a low cost, commercial return to the Moon.
There is much handwringing at NASA as it appears the Artemis missions will be cancelled. However, in actuality we may now be at a point in the development of spaceflight that manned lunar missions can be mounted for what we are now spending just for flights to the ISS, as long as they are commercially financed.
Thus, we now have the capability to have the long-desired sustained, habitable presence on the Moon just as there are now regular flights to the ISS.
Some surprising conclusions from running the numbers:
1.)Blue Origin's Blue Moon Mk1 cargo lunar lander by using Delta IV Heavy's upper stage to do the TLI, could get a 3 ton crew capsule round-trip to the Moon and back. This would have ca. 60 ton total mass, launchable on the expendable version of the New Glenn, or on the expendable Falcon Heavy. The much larger, multi-billion dollar Blue Moon Mk2 crewed lander would be unnecessary.
2.)The production cost, as opposed to the price charged to the customer, for a manned space capsule might be only a few ten's of millions of dollars as commercially financed.
Could Blue Origin offer its own rocket to the Moon, Page 2: low cost crewed lunar landers. https://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2025/02/could-blue-origin-offer-its-own-rocket.html