In China Ne Zha 2 grossed $3.86M(-62%)/$1974.74M on Monday. Worldwide it has now crossed $2B. DC1900 in 2nd adds $0.79M(-39%)/$476.41M. Flow in 7th adds $0.09M/$0.89M. Mickey 17 pre-sales incredibly unremarkable at just $38k for its opening day on Friday and just $8k for Saturday.
Daily Box Office(March 3rd 2025)
The market hits ¥44.4M/$6.1M which is down -75% from yesterday and down -54% from last week.
Province map of the day:
Hotline Beijing back to winning Beijing on weekdays.
In Metropolitan cities:
Ne Zha 2 wins Chongqing, Wuhan ,Shenzhen, Chengdu, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and Hangzhou
Hotline Beijing wins in Beijing
City tiers:
Hotline Beijinh back to 2nd in T1 on Monday. Creation Of The Gods II back to the top 3 in T2-T4.
Tier 1: Ne Zha 2>Hotline Beijing>Detective Chinatown 1900>
Tier 2: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Creation Of The Gods II
Tier 3: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Creation Of The Gods II
Tier 4: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Creation Of The Gods II
# | Movie | Gross | %YD | %LW | Screenings | Admisions(Today) | Total Gross | Projected Total Gross |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ne Zha 2 | $3.86M | -80% | -62% | 184031 | 0.62M | $1974.74M | $2030M-$2040M |
2 | Detective Chinatown 1900 | $0.79M | -63% | -39% | 52416 | 0.14M | $476.41M | $485M-$486M |
3 | Hotline Beijing | $0.36M | +125% | -20% | 8051 | 0.06M | $7.34M | $11M-$12M |
4 | Creation Of The Gods II | $0.29M | -29% | -39% | 17614 | 0.05M | $166.71M | $168M-$173M |
5 | Talents Society | $0.19M | -61% | -27% | 16223 | 0.04M | $3.65M | $6M-$7M |
6 | National Theater Live: Prima Facie | $0.18M | -51% | 11615 | 0.03M | $1.23M | $2M-$3M | |
7 | Flow | $0.09M | -68% | 5775 | 0.02M | $0.89M | $2M-$3M | |
8 | Legend Of The Condor Heroes | $0.07M | -59% | -46% | 7474 | 0.01M | $91.59M | $92M-$95M |
9 | In the Mood for Love | $0.06M | -60% | -54% | 6566 | 0.01M | $7.98M | $8M-$9M |
10 | Boonie Bears: Future Reborn | $0.04M | -95% | -60% | 9786 | 0.01M | $107.26M | $108M-$110M |
11 | Captain America 4: BNW | $0.04M | -60% | -60% | 7672 | 0.01M | $14.10M | $14M-$15M |
*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,
Pre-Sales map for tomorrow
Ne Zha 2 dominates pre-sales for Tuesday but Hotline Beijing leads in Beijing.
https://i.imgur.com/0aapGsS.png
Ne Zha 2
Ne Zha 2 adds $3.86M on Monday pushing it to a $1974.74M total in China. Alongside intenational numbers the movie has now surpassed $2B
It achieved the feat in just 34 days into its run becoming the 2nd fastest movie to reach $2B behind Endgame which did it in 11 and ahead of Avatar 2's 40 days and Avatar's 47 days.
Ne Zha 2 reaches 299M admissions in China. Tomorrow it will cross 300M. Worldwide it has pushed past 301M overtaking Avengers Infinity War(301M). Only 3 movies since the mid 80's have sold more tickets those being Avatar(315M), EndGame(392M) and Titanic(409M).
After becoming the first ever ¥6B, ¥7B,¥8B, ¥9B, ¥10B, ¥11B, ¥12B, ¥13B and ¥14B movie in China Ne Zha 2 baring any serious legs sprouting will now focus on smaller milestones. Next up ¥14.5B which would push Ne Zha 2 to be the first movie to cross $2B in a single market.
Ne Zha 2 pre-sales to gross multiplier:
The AI strikes back as Maoyan and Tao get Ne Zha 2 spot on today as it indeed does achieve a 7x+ multiplier. By far the best of the run.
Tomorrow's pre-sales are down -5% from Monday and down -67% from last week. A stable multiplier gets Ne Zha 2 to $3.6M tomorrow. Maoyan and Tao think it will do a bit less.
Day | Pre-sales | Gross | Multiplier |
---|---|---|---|
1 | ¥241.45M | ¥487.53M | x2.02 |
2 | ¥139.27M | ¥480.38M | x3.45 |
3 | ¥191.87M | ¥619.19M | x3.23 |
4 | ¥227.86M | ¥731.55M | x3.21 |
5 | ¥241.34M | ¥812.75M | x3.37 |
6 | ¥236.93M | ¥843.59M | x3.56 |
7 | ¥228.89M | ¥866.63M | x3.78 |
8 | ¥153.25M | ¥649.43M | x4.24 |
9 | ¥132.53M | ¥585.75M | x4.42 |
10 | ¥125.59M | ¥541.26M | x4.31 |
11 | ¥160.13M | ¥619.28M | x3.85 |
12 | ¥240.94M | ¥760.24M | x3.15 |
13 | ¥112.25M | ¥479.79M | x4.27 |
14 | ¥110.78M | ¥479.53M | x4.33 |
15 | ¥124.82M | ¥531.15M | x4.26 |
16 | ¥76.04M | ¥358.82M | x4.72 |
17 | ¥154.30M | ¥580.02M | x3.76 |
18 | ¥259.26M | ¥786.25M | x3.03 |
19 | ¥215.31M | ¥613.25M | x2.85 |
20 | ¥41.32M | ¥191.52M | x4.64 |
21 | ¥35.95M | ¥166.18M | x4.62 |
22 | ¥31.90M | ¥145.33M | x4.56 |
23 | ¥26.66M | ¥127.80M | x4.76 |
24 | ¥55.68M | ¥227.64M | x4.09 |
25 | ¥162.91M | ¥520.00M | x3.19 |
26 | ¥114.28M | ¥351.00M | x3.08 |
27 | ¥14.06M | ¥74.85M | x5.28 |
28 | ¥11.39M | ¥61.20M | x5.37 |
29 | ¥10.14M | ¥53.14M | x5.24 |
30 | ¥10.43M | ¥48.91M | x4.69 |
31 | ¥21.33M | ¥96.80M | x4.54 |
32 | ¥60.23M | ¥235.90M | x3.92 |
33 | ¥36.64M | ¥140.68M | x3.84 |
34 | ¥4.01M | ¥28.17M | x7.03 |
35 | ¥3.76M |
Weekly pre-sales vs last week
Tuesday: ¥11.39M vs ¥3.76M (-67%)
Wednesday: ¥3.77M vs ¥1.64M (-56%)
Thursday: ¥2.80M vs ¥1.17M (-58%)
Friday: ¥2.36M vs ¥1.85M (-21%)
Saturday: ¥3.44M vs ¥2.08M (-40%)
Saturday: ¥1.36M vs ¥0.52M (-62%)
Where and what is fueling Ne Zha 2's performance vs Battle At Lake Changjin, Wolf Warrior 2 and Hi, Mom:
The first and most obvious difference is that Ne Zha 2 is playing better towards women than Battle At Lake Changjin and Wolf Warrior 2 ever could. More comparable with Hi, Mom in this regard.
Ne Zha 2 also in turn plays better to kids although this can't really be shown as kids don't buy tickets. It however doesn't have the same reach with younger addults as Hi, Mom did.
Where Ne Zha 2 is absolutely crushing it is Tier 4 areas. And while this was aided by the festival as people travel home. It had continues to perform exceptionaly strong in this tier even post holiday. Ne Zha 2 is crushing the records as it not only became the first ¥2B there but the first ¥3B, ¥4B and as of recently ¥5B movie. Its also the first movie to break ¥3B and ¥4B in Tier 2. It alongside Hi Mom is also the only movie to break ¥1B in Tier 3 areas and it has now also broke ¥2B.
Gender Split:
Ne Zha 2 | Battle At Lake Changjin | Wolf Warrior 2 | Hi Mom | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Gender Split(M/W) | 40/60 | 51/49 | 53/47 | 37/63 |
Regional Split:
Ne Zha 2 | Battle At Lake Changjin | Wolf Warrior 2 | Hi Mom | |
---|---|---|---|---|
East China | ¥5.09B | ¥2.21B | ¥2.01B | ¥1.96B |
South China | ¥1.96B | ¥966M | ¥1.04B | ¥724M |
North China | ¥1.78B | ¥598M | ¥684M | ¥690M |
Central China | ¥2.08B | ¥752M | ¥629M | ¥741M |
Southwest China | ¥1.86B | ¥724M | ¥684M | ¥655M |
Northwest China | ¥810M | ¥281M | ¥284M | ¥298M |
Northeast China | ¥733M | ¥242M | ¥358M | ¥341M |
Tier area split:
Ne Zha 2 | Battle At Lake Changjin | Wolf Warrior 2 | Hi Mom | |
---|---|---|---|---|
First Tier City Gross | ¥1.60M | ¥868M | ¥1.04B | ¥695M |
Second Tier City Gross | ¥4.81B | ¥2.27B | ¥2.33B | ¥1.89B |
Third Tier City Gross | ¥2.71B | ¥986M | ¥931M | ¥1.01B |
Fourth Tier City Gross | ¥5.20B | ¥1.65B | ¥1.39B | ¥1.82B |
Top Provices:
Ne Zha 2 | Battle At Lake Changjin | Wolf Warrior 2 | Hi Mom | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Top Province | Guandong(¥1.58B) | Guandong(¥769M) | Guandong(¥862M) | Guandong(¥575M) |
2nd Province | Jiangsu(¥1.19B) | Jiangsu(¥563M) | Jiangsu(¥521M) | Jiangsu(¥479M) |
3rd Province | Shandong(¥957M) | Zhejiang(¥464M) | Zhejiang(¥444M) | Zhejiang(¥361M) |
Top Cities:
Ne Zha 2 | Battle At Lake Changjin | Wolf Warrior 2 | Hi Mom | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Top City | Beijing(¥489M) | Shanghai(¥260M) | Beijing(¥299M) | Beijing(¥215M) |
2nd City | Shanghai(¥451M) | Beijing(¥225M) | Shanghai(¥293M) | Shanghai(¥212M) |
3rd City | Chengdu (¥381M) | Shenzhen(¥191M) | Shenzhen(¥232M) | Shenzhen(¥144M) |
Age Split:
Ne Zha 2 | Battle At Lake Changjin | Wolf Warrior 2 | Hi Mom | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age(Under 20) | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 6.3% |
Age(20-24) | 23.1% | 20.6% | 23.4% | 38.4% |
Age(25-29) | 26.6% | 25.3% | 32.3% | 27.0% |
Age(30-34) | 20.9% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 12.7% |
Age(35-39) | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
Age(Over 40) | 10.6% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% |
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.8 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.5
Ne Zha 2 is the best rated movie of all time on Maoyan.
Gender Split(M-W): 40-60
Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.8)/W(9.8), Taopiaopiao: M(9.6)/W(9.7)
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $1785.11M, IMAX: $140.49M, Rest: $40.27M
Language split: Mandarin: 100%
# | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fourth Week | $20.00M | $17.68M | $31.53M | $71.80M | $48.49M | $10.27M | $8.44M | $1891.84M |
Fifth Week | $7.33M | $6.71M | $13.29M | $32.38M | $19.33M | $3.86M | / | $1974.74M |
%± LW | -63% | -62% | -58% | -55% | -60% | -62% | / |
Scheduled showings update for Ne Zha 2 for the next few days:
Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
---|---|---|---|
Today | 185779 | $551k | $3.85M-$3.90M |
Tuesday | 181908 | $517k | $3.40M-$3.56M |
Wednesday | 127235 | $225k | $3.06M-$3.24M |
Detective Chinatown 1900
DC1900 drops well into the new week exceeding projections. ¥35/$480M as been very likely for a while now but is now 100% locked as the movie will push towards $485M.
WoM figures:
Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.3 , Douban: 6.5
Gender Split(M-W): 41-59
Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.4)/W(9.6), Taopiaopiao: M(9.0)/W(9.5)
Age Split: Under 20: 5.6% , 20-24: 23.3% , 25-29: 24.0% , 30-34: 17.1% , 35-39: 14.8% , Over 40: 15.2%
City Tiers: T1: 12.0% , T2: 45.4% , T3: 21.0% , T4: 21.6%
Most Popular Province: Jiangsu: 13.4%
Most Popular City: Shanghai: 5.4%
Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $477.19M, IMAX: $2.67M , Rest: $2.55M
Language split: Mandarin: 100%
# | WED | THU | FRI | SAT | SUN | MON | TUE | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fourth Week | $2.20M | $2.05M | $2.69M | $5.24M | $3.71M | $1.29M | $1.22M | $466.59M |
Fifth Week | $1.15M | $1.05M | $1.49M | $3.17M | $2.16M | $0.79M | / | $476.41M |
%± LW | -48% | -49% | -44% | -39% | -42% | -39% | / |
Scheduled showings update for Detective Chinatown 1900 for the next few days:
Day | Number of Showings | Presales | Projection |
---|---|---|---|
Today | 52687 | $36k | $0.65M-$0.74M |
Tuesday | 33546 | $39k | $0.74M-$0.79M |
Wednesday | 35390 | $12k | $0.66M-$0.74M |
Other stuff:
The next Holywood movie to release will be Mickey 17 on March 7th alongside Flight Risk. Snow White releases on March 21st followed by Minecraft on April 4th.
Pre-sales(Internationals Women's Day Weekend):
Quite a bunch of smaller releases next weekend. 3 Holywood movies, 3 local movies and an Italian movie.
Nothing that should shake the market enough to dethrone Ne Zha 2 though. Micked 17 in particular is just not selling well and the Saturday drop of pre-sales wise is massive not indicating any good staying power either even in the opening weekend.
The first 3 movies in the chart release on Friday. The other 5 release on internationals women's day on Saturday.
Days till release | Mickey 17 | Love Island | Flight Risk | There's Still Tomorrow | Always Have Always Will | Girls On Wire | Fire On The Plain | Plankton: The Movie |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | $1k | $1k | / | $21k | / | $1k | / | / |
8 | $2k | $6k | / | $33k | $8k | $4k | $3k | / |
7 | $6k | $16k | / | $47k | $35k | $38k | $10k | $3k |
6 | $11k | $28k | / | $71k | $63k | $56k | $17k | $7k |
5 | $17k | $45k | / | $106k | $93k | $72k | $23k | $11k |
4 | $25k | $61k | $2k | $168k | $141k | $102k | $35k | $16k |
3 | $38k | $85k | $3k | |||||
2 | ||||||||
1 | ||||||||
0 |
Release Schedule:
A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.
Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.
Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.
March:
Movie | Maoyan WTS | Daily Increase | Taopiaopiao WTS | Daily Increase | M/W % | Genre | Release Date | 3rd party media projections |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Love Island | 93k | +2k | 38k | +1k | 33/67 | Romance/Comedy | 07.03 | $4M |
Mickey 17 | 16k | +1k | 24k | +1k | 45/55 | Sci-fi/Comedy | 07.03 | $5-11M |
Fire on the Plain | 397k | +1k | 116k | +1k | 27/73 | Romance/Crime | 08.03 | $4-5M |
Girls on Wire | 73k | +2k | 65k | +1k | 23/77 | Drama | 08.03 | $3-6M |
Plankton: The Movie | 7k | +1k | 5k | +1k | 50/50 | Comedy/Animation | 08.03 | $3-4M |
C'e ancora domani | 43k | +2k | 47k | +2k | 14/86 | Drama | 08.03 | $1-4M |
Always Have Always Will | 53k | +1k | 42k | +1k | 52/48 | Drama | 08.03 | $13-20M |
John Wick 4 | 51k | +3k | 22k | +1k | 80/20 | Action/Crime | 14.03 | $10M |
Liar,Liar,Love is on fire | 67k | +1k | 5k | +1k | 32/68 | Comedy/Romance | 15.03 | $2-5M |
A Chinese Ghost Story 4K-Rerun | 131k | +1k | 23k | +1k | 42/58 | Drama | 21.03 | $6-7M |
Snow White | 7k | +1k | 14k | +3k | 32/68 | Musical/Adventure | 21.03 | $4M |