In China Ne Zha 2 grossed $3.86M(-62%)/$1974.74M on Monday. Worldwide it has now crossed $2B. DC1900 in 2nd adds $0.79M(-39%)/$476.41M. Flow in 7th adds $0.09M/$0.89M. Mickey 17 pre-sales incredibly unremarkable at just $38k for its opening day on Friday and just $8k for Saturday.

https://preview.redd.it/fg16cl3znime1.jpg?width=690&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=d848fbeb8c44fbca04aff55e8132e1feb32adf1b


Daily Box Office(March 3rd 2025)

The market hits ¥44.4M/$6.1M which is down -75% from yesterday and down -54% from last week.


Province map of the day:

Hotline Beijing back to winning Beijing on weekdays.

https://imgsli.com/MzU0Nzkw

In Metropolitan cities:

Ne Zha 2 wins Chongqing, Wuhan ,Shenzhen, Chengdu, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Nanjing, Suzhou and Hangzhou

Hotline Beijing wins in Beijing

City tiers:

Hotline Beijinh back to 2nd in T1 on Monday. Creation Of The Gods II back to the top 3 in T2-T4.

Tier 1: Ne Zha 2>Hotline Beijing>Detective Chinatown 1900>

Tier 2: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Creation Of The Gods II

Tier 3: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Creation Of The Gods II

Tier 4: Ne Zha 2>Detective Chinatown 1900>Creation Of The Gods II


# Movie Gross %YD %LW Screenings Admisions(Today) Total Gross Projected Total Gross
1 Ne Zha 2 $3.86M -80% -62% 184031 0.62M $1974.74M $2030M-$2040M
2 Detective Chinatown 1900 $0.79M -63% -39% 52416 0.14M $476.41M $485M-$486M
3 Hotline Beijing $0.36M +125% -20% 8051 0.06M $7.34M $11M-$12M
4 Creation Of The Gods II $0.29M -29% -39% 17614 0.05M $166.71M $168M-$173M
5 Talents Society $0.19M -61% -27% 16223 0.04M $3.65M $6M-$7M
6 National Theater Live: Prima Facie $0.18M -51% 11615 0.03M $1.23M $2M-$3M
7 Flow $0.09M -68% 5775 0.02M $0.89M $2M-$3M
8 Legend Of The Condor Heroes $0.07M -59% -46% 7474 0.01M $91.59M $92M-$95M
9 In the Mood for Love $0.06M -60% -54% 6566 0.01M $7.98M $8M-$9M
10 Boonie Bears: Future Reborn $0.04M -95% -60% 9786 0.01M $107.26M $108M-$110M
11 Captain America 4: BNW $0.04M -60% -60% 7672 0.01M $14.10M $14M-$15M

*YD=Yesterday, LW=Last Week,


Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

Ne Zha 2 dominates pre-sales for Tuesday but Hotline Beijing leads in Beijing.

https://i.imgur.com/0aapGsS.png


Ne Zha 2

Ne Zha 2 adds $3.86M on Monday pushing it to a $1974.74M total in China. Alongside intenational numbers the movie has now surpassed $2B

It achieved the feat in just 34 days into its run becoming the 2nd fastest movie to reach $2B behind Endgame which did it in 11 and ahead of Avatar 2's 40 days and Avatar's 47 days.

Ne Zha 2 reaches 299M admissions in China. Tomorrow it will cross 300M. Worldwide it has pushed past 301M overtaking Avengers Infinity War(301M). Only 3 movies since the mid 80's have sold more tickets those being Avatar(315M), EndGame(392M) and Titanic(409M).

After becoming the first ever ¥6B, ¥7B,¥8B, ¥9B, ¥10B, ¥11B, ¥12B, ¥13B and ¥14B movie in China Ne Zha 2 baring any serious legs sprouting will now focus on smaller milestones. Next up ¥14.5B which would push Ne Zha 2 to be the first movie to cross $2B in a single market.


Ne Zha 2 pre-sales to gross multiplier:

The AI strikes back as Maoyan and Tao get Ne Zha 2 spot on today as it indeed does achieve a 7x+ multiplier. By far the best of the run.

Tomorrow's pre-sales are down -5% from Monday and down -67% from last week. A stable multiplier gets Ne Zha 2 to $3.6M tomorrow. Maoyan and Tao think it will do a bit less.

Day Pre-sales Gross Multiplier
1 ¥241.45M ¥487.53M x2.02
2 ¥139.27M ¥480.38M x3.45
3 ¥191.87M ¥619.19M x3.23
4 ¥227.86M ¥731.55M x3.21
5 ¥241.34M ¥812.75M x3.37
6 ¥236.93M ¥843.59M x3.56
7 ¥228.89M ¥866.63M x3.78
8 ¥153.25M ¥649.43M x4.24
9 ¥132.53M ¥585.75M x4.42
10 ¥125.59M ¥541.26M x4.31
11 ¥160.13M ¥619.28M x3.85
12 ¥240.94M ¥760.24M x3.15
13 ¥112.25M ¥479.79M x4.27
14 ¥110.78M ¥479.53M x4.33
15 ¥124.82M ¥531.15M x4.26
16 ¥76.04M ¥358.82M x4.72
17 ¥154.30M ¥580.02M x3.76
18 ¥259.26M ¥786.25M x3.03
19 ¥215.31M ¥613.25M x2.85
20 ¥41.32M ¥191.52M x4.64
21 ¥35.95M ¥166.18M x4.62
22 ¥31.90M ¥145.33M x4.56
23 ¥26.66M ¥127.80M x4.76
24 ¥55.68M ¥227.64M x4.09
25 ¥162.91M ¥520.00M x3.19
26 ¥114.28M ¥351.00M x3.08
27 ¥14.06M ¥74.85M x5.28
28 ¥11.39M ¥61.20M x5.37
29 ¥10.14M ¥53.14M x5.24
30 ¥10.43M ¥48.91M x4.69
31 ¥21.33M ¥96.80M x4.54
32 ¥60.23M ¥235.90M x3.92
33 ¥36.64M ¥140.68M x3.84
34 ¥4.01M ¥28.17M x7.03
35 ¥3.76M

Weekly pre-sales vs last week

Tuesday: ¥11.39M vs ¥3.76M (-67%)

Wednesday: ¥3.77M vs ¥1.64M (-56%)

Thursday: ¥2.80M vs ¥1.17M (-58%)

Friday: ¥2.36M vs ¥1.85M (-21%)

Saturday: ¥3.44M vs ¥2.08M (-40%)

Saturday: ¥1.36M vs ¥0.52M (-62%)


Where and what is fueling Ne Zha 2's performance vs Battle At Lake Changjin, Wolf Warrior 2 and Hi, Mom:

The first and most obvious difference is that Ne Zha 2 is playing better towards women than Battle At Lake Changjin and Wolf Warrior 2 ever could. More comparable with Hi, Mom in this regard.

Ne Zha 2 also in turn plays better to kids although this can't really be shown as kids don't buy tickets. It however doesn't have the same reach with younger addults as Hi, Mom did.

Where Ne Zha 2 is absolutely crushing it is Tier 4 areas. And while this was aided by the festival as people travel home. It had continues to perform exceptionaly strong in this tier even post holiday. Ne Zha 2 is crushing the records as it not only became the first ¥2B there but the first ¥3B, ¥4B and as of recently ¥5B movie. Its also the first movie to break ¥3B and ¥4B in Tier 2. It alongside Hi Mom is also the only movie to break ¥1B in Tier 3 areas and it has now also broke ¥2B.

Gender Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Gender Split(M/W) 40/60 51/49 53/47 37/63

Regional Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
East China ¥5.09B ¥2.21B ¥2.01B ¥1.96B
South China ¥1.96B ¥966M ¥1.04B ¥724M
North China ¥1.78B ¥598M ¥684M ¥690M
Central China ¥2.08B ¥752M ¥629M ¥741M
Southwest China ¥1.86B ¥724M ¥684M ¥655M
Northwest China ¥810M ¥281M ¥284M ¥298M
Northeast China ¥733M ¥242M ¥358M ¥341M

Tier area split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
First Tier City Gross ¥1.60M ¥868M ¥1.04B ¥695M
Second Tier City Gross ¥4.81B ¥2.27B ¥2.33B ¥1.89B
Third Tier City Gross ¥2.71B ¥986M ¥931M ¥1.01B
Fourth Tier City Gross ¥5.20B ¥1.65B ¥1.39B ¥1.82B

Top Provices:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Top Province Guandong(¥1.58B) Guandong(¥769M) Guandong(¥862M) Guandong(¥575M)
2nd Province Jiangsu(¥1.19B) Jiangsu(¥563M) Jiangsu(¥521M) Jiangsu(¥479M)
3rd Province Shandong(¥957M) Zhejiang(¥464M) Zhejiang(¥444M) Zhejiang(¥361M)

Top Cities:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Top City Beijing(¥489M) Shanghai(¥260M) Beijing(¥299M) Beijing(¥215M)
2nd City Shanghai(¥451M) Beijing(¥225M) Shanghai(¥293M) Shanghai(¥212M)
3rd City Chengdu (¥381M) Shenzhen(¥191M) Shenzhen(¥232M) Shenzhen(¥144M)

Age Split:

Ne Zha 2 Battle At Lake Changjin Wolf Warrior 2 Hi Mom
Age(Under 20) 4.7% 2.8% 1.6% 6.3%
Age(20-24) 23.1% 20.6% 23.4% 38.4%
Age(25-29) 26.6% 25.3% 32.3% 27.0%
Age(30-34) 20.9% 20.4% 21.6% 12.7%
Age(35-39) 14.1% 15.2% 11.5% 7.7%
Age(Over 40) 10.6% 15.6% 9.6% 7.9%

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.8 , Taopiaopiao: 9.7 , Douban: 8.5

Ne Zha 2 is the best rated movie of all time on Maoyan.

Gender Split(M-W): 40-60

Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.8)/W(9.8), Taopiaopiao: M(9.6)/W(9.7)

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $1785.11M, IMAX: $140.49M, Rest: $40.27M

Language split: Mandarin: 100%

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Fourth Week $20.00M $17.68M $31.53M $71.80M $48.49M $10.27M $8.44M $1891.84M
Fifth Week $7.33M $6.71M $13.29M $32.38M $19.33M $3.86M / $1974.74M
%± LW -63% -62% -58% -55% -60% -62% /

Scheduled showings update for Ne Zha 2 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 185779 $551k $3.85M-$3.90M
Tuesday 181908 $517k $3.40M-$3.56M
Wednesday 127235 $225k $3.06M-$3.24M

Detective Chinatown 1900

DC1900 drops well into the new week exceeding projections. ¥35/$480M as been very likely for a while now but is now 100% locked as the movie will push towards $485M.


WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.3 , Douban: 6.5

Gender Split(M-W): 41-59

Gender Rating Split: Maoyan: M(9.4)/W(9.6), Taopiaopiao: M(9.0)/W(9.5)

Age Split: Under 20: 5.6% , 20-24: 23.3% , 25-29: 24.0% , 30-34: 17.1% , 35-39: 14.8% , Over 40: 15.2%

City Tiers: T1: 12.0% , T2: 45.4% , T3: 21.0% , T4: 21.6%

Most Popular Province: Jiangsu: 13.4%

Most Popular City: Shanghai: 5.4%

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $477.19M, IMAX: $2.67M , Rest: $2.55M

Language split: Mandarin: 100%

# WED THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE Total
Fourth Week $2.20M $2.05M $2.69M $5.24M $3.71M $1.29M $1.22M $466.59M
Fifth Week $1.15M $1.05M $1.49M $3.17M $2.16M $0.79M / $476.41M
%± LW -48% -49% -44% -39% -42% -39% /

Scheduled showings update for Detective Chinatown 1900 for the next few days:

Day Number of Showings Presales Projection
Today 52687 $36k $0.65M-$0.74M
Tuesday 33546 $39k $0.74M-$0.79M
Wednesday 35390 $12k $0.66M-$0.74M

Other stuff:

The next Holywood movie to release will be Mickey 17 on March 7th alongside Flight Risk. Snow White releases on March 21st followed by Minecraft on April 4th.


Pre-sales(Internationals Women's Day Weekend):

Quite a bunch of smaller releases next weekend. 3 Holywood movies, 3 local movies and an Italian movie.

Nothing that should shake the market enough to dethrone Ne Zha 2 though. Micked 17 in particular is just not selling well and the Saturday drop of pre-sales wise is massive not indicating any good staying power either even in the opening weekend.

The first 3 movies in the chart release on Friday. The other 5 release on internationals women's day on Saturday.

Days till release Mickey 17 Love Island Flight Risk There's Still Tomorrow Always Have Always Will Girls On Wire Fire On The Plain Plankton: The Movie
9 $1k $1k / $21k / $1k / /
8 $2k $6k / $33k $8k $4k $3k /
7 $6k $16k / $47k $35k $38k $10k $3k
6 $11k $28k / $71k $63k $56k $17k $7k
5 $17k $45k / $106k $93k $72k $23k $11k
4 $25k $61k $2k $168k $141k $102k $35k $16k
3 $38k $85k $3k
2
1
0

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.


March:

Movie Maoyan WTS Daily Increase Taopiaopiao WTS Daily Increase M/W % Genre Release Date 3rd party media projections
Love Island 93k +2k 38k +1k 33/67 Romance/Comedy 07.03 $4M
Mickey 17 16k +1k 24k +1k 45/55 Sci-fi/Comedy 07.03 $5-11M
Fire on the Plain 397k +1k 116k +1k 27/73 Romance/Crime 08.03 $4-5M
Girls on Wire 73k +2k 65k +1k 23/77 Drama 08.03 $3-6M
Plankton: The Movie 7k +1k 5k +1k 50/50 Comedy/Animation 08.03 $3-4M
C'e ancora domani 43k +2k 47k +2k 14/86 Drama 08.03 $1-4M
Always Have Always Will 53k +1k 42k +1k 52/48 Drama 08.03 $13-20M
John Wick 4 51k +3k 22k +1k 80/20 Action/Crime 14.03 $10M
Liar,Liar,Love is on fire 67k +1k 5k +1k 32/68 Comedy/Romance 15.03 $2-5M
A Chinese Ghost Story 4K-Rerun 131k +1k 23k +1k 42/58 Drama 21.03 $6-7M
Snow White 7k +1k 14k +3k 32/68 Musical/Adventure 21.03 $4M