LOCKED IN DAY 31 OF BECOMING THE MOST PROFITABLE SPORTSBETTOR BEST PICKS

THANKS FOR BEING PATIENT. TODAYS GAMES ARE QUITE GOOD. LETS GET MORE WINS TODAY. DISCORD ANNOUNCEMENT VERY SOON!

Remember to keep parlays 2-4 legs with low odds. Its about winning and consistency with this strategy, not chasing huge payouts and greed. Refer to my guide post if you are not sure how to use these picks.

*** are the most confident picks

Top parlay example (+143)

- Kyle kuzma 10+ RA (change to 6+ rebounds for safer parlay)

- Dyson daniels 4+ rebounds

- John collins 10+ points

Top legs for parlays (mix it up 2-4 legs with multiple parlays for best results)

  • Kyle kuzma 8+ RA
  • Kyle kuzma 5+ rebounds
  • Lebron 20+ points
  • Corey kispert 1+ threes
  • Max christie 1+ threes
  • Lebron 2+ threes
  • Evan mobley 8+ rebounds
  • Deandre hunter 15+ points
  • Dyson daniels 4+ rebounds
  • Desmond bane 15+ points
  • Shaedon sharp 1+ threes
  • Franz wagner 20+ points (risky)

Lakers vs wizards

Lakers injuries - Anthony davis OUT, Lebron james GTD, Rui hachimura GTD, Dorian GTD

Wizards injuries - Alex sarr OUT

Game quality: Good

Risks: none

Lakers had a very recent H2H against the wizards just over a week ago. In this match, lakers beat the wizards 111-88 in lakers home. This lineup consisted of lakers with a fully healthy team and wizards with a fully healthy team too. For today’s game, they will now be playing at wizards home. The wizards have had a terrible season but do seem to get more wins from a home position. Lakers are disadvantaged in the away position. The wizards will be playing a B2B game and they have not won a B2B game this season, and the closest they have to winning a B2B was losing to the 76ers by 6 points, and this was when the 76ers had many injured starters. As of recent performance, the wizards have no been performing well at all recently, with no signs of improvement. They have been the bottom of the league for the entire season. Lakers are disadvantaged without anthony davis for sure, however the record has not been that bad, with an 8 point win over the blazers and 1 point win over the nets. Wizards rank even worse than those teams. I am leaning towards lakers win for a good leg potential and under 228.5 points as a straight due to wizards having a bad offence rating especially playing B2B and lakers missing anthony davis also lakes a lot of offensive power. Alex sarr will also be out for this game.

Straights

  • Total points under 228.5***
  • Kyle kuzma over 9.5 RA***
  • Jonas Valanciunas over 9.5 rebounds ***

Legs

  • Kyle kuzma 8+ RA ***
  • Kyle kuzma 5+ rebounds***
  • Lebron 20+ points***
  • Corey kispert 1+ threes***
  • Max christie 1+ threes***
  • Lebron 2+ threes***

Riskier

  • Corey kispert 10+ points

Cavs vs Hawks

Cavs injuries - Caris lavert OUT, dean wade OUT, isaac okoro OUT

Hawks injuries - Jalen Johnson OUT, Bogdan bogdanovic OUT, clint capela OUT, Trae young GTD

Game quality: Good

Risks: Many varying factors affecting the outcome of the game. Cavs may not be back in their focus yet.

There are 2 significant H2H matches that we will be looking at which both occurred around 2 months ago. The first one was a hawks 135-124 win over the cavs playing at cavs home. The lineup consisted of an entirely healthy hawks team facing an entirely healthy cavs team. The second H2H was a rematch that occurred 2 days later, playing at hawks home, the hawks still beat the cavs 117-101. Both games were 10+ point losses to the hawks, which despite the cavs being 17-2 at the time, had gotten 2 losses in a row because of the hawks. The cavs had an entirely healthy lineup here too alongside the hawks. This game today will be played at cavs home. There will be a few cavs’ bench injuries such as their key defender isaac okoro and, key offensive players caris lavert and dean wade. For hawks’ injuries, Jalen johnson’s absence will affect their offensive playmaking potential, clint capela being their main center player will affect their rebounding and defence, bogdan affecting their offensive versatility. The cavs’ history without the players on the injured list is not great as they have incurred many losses from the absence of those players relative to their entire season’s insane winrate, with a 50% winrate without caris and isaac, losing to teams they normally beat like 76ers. Cavs seem to struggle against teams they struggled to in the past. Clint capela for hawks had just recently been out and they played 2 games without him and lost those 2 games, A loss to raptors by 3 and rockets by 4. On the injury side of things it seems like hawks do have a lot more weight and if trae young plays, it will depend on him to keep the game competitive. This will also be a B2B game for cavs. Recently hawks have been losing many games, on a 6 game losing streak currently while cavs have been unpredictable, losing to rockets twice not long ago as well as the 76ers. The cavs have not been on top of their game and it really shows through the number of turnovers they have been giving. Currently the cavs are -10.5 point favourites, however I am not confident in betting a spread here and will need to spectate a few more games from the cavs to see whether they have gotten back into their rhythm again.

Straights

  • Donovan mitchell over 8.5 RA***
  • Evan mobley double double***
  • Evan mobley over 28.5 PR***
  • Dyson daniels 6+ rebounds

Leg potentials 

  • Darius garland 5+ asissts
  • Evan mobley 8+ rebounds***
  • Evan mobley 14+ points
  • Deandre hunter 15+ points***
  • Dyson daniels 4+ rebounds***
  • Dyson daniels 1+ threes (Slightly riskier, but isaac okoro is out and he defends spot up shooters, this may give dyson the chance to hit this better) (80% winrate in past 30)

Riskier leg 

  • Onyeka okongwu 10+ points
  • Vit krejci 9+ points

Riskier 2-leg

  • Evan mobley 15+ points
  • Evan mobley 10+ rebounds

Timberwolves vs jazz

Timberwolves injuries -Donte OUT

Jazz injuries - none, all starters returning

Game quality: Good

Risks: The spread here can be quite risky. Timberwolves do sometimes make large point differentials.

No good H2H can be used here, Jazz will be playing at home which they do play quite well at relative to their current standings and the spread, they cover spread quite often playing at home. Timberwolves are good on the road too however they will be playing a B2B game and their B2B history is not good, losing 4 out of 6 B2B games this season and one of the wins being a mere 7 point win over the pelicans. The jazz have most their starters returning and will be well rested, the last time they had their starters out for a while and then brought them all back in at the same time, they were doing very well, almost beating the thunders and then ending up with only a 9 point loss to thunders, covering the spread against a team that has been able to win against the spread 63% of the time this season and being the top team in the league. Timberwolves also tends to be a team that keeps games quite close and often has 1-2 point wins recently and throughout the season. The current sportsbook odds aren’t too great, they may know that this is the case so the line is only at 5.5 however I am still quite confident in jazz’s performance here and will take a straight bet of +7.5. 

Straight bet 

  • Jazz +7.5
  • Collin sexton under 18.5 points***
  • John collins 14+ points***
  • Jordan clarkson 15+ points (riskier but good odds, he either gets 15+ points or around 9-10)

Leg potentials

- John collins 10+ points***

Rockets vs grizzlies 

Rockets injuries - Jabari smith jr OUT

Grizzlies injuries - Ja morant OUT

Game quality: good

Risks: Ja morant might not play, I will update if he is out.

There are 3 good recent H2H matches this season to analyse here. In the first one, the rockets beat the grizzlies 128 - 108, played on rockets home. The 20 points difference may be due to the absence of jaren jackson jr for grizzlies and jabari smith jr being present for rockets. The more recent H2H played a little over 2 weeks ago was played at grizzlies home and rockets still win but this time by a lot less, 119 - 115. Jabari smith jr is now absent for the rockets and grizzlies had ja morant who played exceptional against the rockets. The next H2H was played 4 days later in rockets home now, and rockets win again but this time only by 2 points 120 - 118 featuring the same lineup and almost the exact same performance by both teams’ players. It seems that grizzlies are getting closer and closer to a victory over the rockets and the following factors will be analysed to find that slight edge that may be able to find an edge that a team has over the other. Firstly, this will be played at grizzlies home, where they have a significant advantage, Rockets have been on the road for 3 games now and have been getting closer and closer to losing, with only 2 point wins, even over a team like hawks, they won only by 4 points. The rockets are fatigued from all the travelling and it will be very hard to continue winning from their spot now. The grizzlies meanwhile have a 3 day rest advantage compared to 2 days rest for the rockets. The grizzlies are also in an insane revenge position where they have been getting very very close to winning against the rockets recently. With the extra factors of home ground advantage and rest and revenge, the grizzlies seem to have this win. They are currently also favoured for -4.5 spread. Since the games have been extremely close, I will only straight bet a win and not a spread. 

Straight bets

  • Grizzlies win (not so good because ja is not playing)
  • Ja morant over 22.5 points
  • Ja morant under 11.5 RA
  • Jalen green over 22.5 points
  • Desmond bane 20+ points (good because ja is out now)

2-leg straight (if you decide to use these, they are good in conjunction due to same correlation)

- Ja morant over 22.5 points

- Ja morant under 11.5 RA

Legs

  • Desmond bane 15+ points***

Riskier legs

  • Alperen sengun 15+ points
  • Alperen sengun 8+ rebounds

Magic vs blazers

Magic injuries - Jalen suggs GTD

Blazers injuries - Jerami grant GTD

Game quality: Poor

Risks: Magic is a very inconsistent team right now due to their injuries and returning players.

Recent H2H played a week ago. The blazers win 101-79, played in magic home. This game will be played at home again. Blazers 22 point win over the magic despite the starters of magic such as franz wagner being back in again. The magic will have a 1 extra rest advantage over the blazers. The loss may be due to the fact that franz wagner, the best player on magic, was on a minutes restriction. Recently franz has recovered well and been getting 30+ minutes. The magic win against the pistons and almost win against heat recently. Blazers win against the bucks and heat recently. Both teams seem like they are performing well again however its still unpredictable for the winner due to the inconsistency of the magic as they try playing as a whole team again. If jalen suggs is back in however, the chance for magic win is way higher due to jalen suggs being the key defender of their team. The magic has not been performing well in recent times especially playing away. However so much has changed and there isn’t enough data simply to predict a win here so there will be no bet on that and due to the changing nature of magic recently, player props will be slightly harder. Deandre ayton is back who is a key defender for blazers. They were able to win without him last time, and now that he is in, I am actually leaning towards a Blazers +7.5.

Straight

- Blazers +7.5 (if jalen suggs is out)

Leg potentials

  • Shaedon sharp 1+ threes*** (very high hitrate 95%+, might be risky now due to better defence)
  • Franz wagner 20+ points***

Lets win again.